Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.815119e-05 0.000046 0.000054 0.000063 0.000073 0.000084 0.000097
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.855584e-05 0.000038 0.000048 0.000061 0.000075 0.000092 0.000112
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.227440e-05 0.000032 0.000044 0.000059 0.000077 0.000098 0.000125
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.848377e-05 0.000029 0.000042 0.000059 0.000080 0.000106 0.000139
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.494261e-05 0.000025 0.000039 0.000057 0.000081 0.000111 0.000149
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.219941e-05 0.000022 0.000036 0.000056 0.000082 0.000115 0.000159
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 9.860945e-06 0.000020 0.000034 0.000054 0.000083 0.000119 0.000167
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 7.774963e-06 0.000017 0.000031 0.000052 0.000082 0.000121 0.000173
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.937757e-06 0.000014 0.000028 0.000049 0.000080 0.000121 0.000177
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.692285e-06 0.000012 0.000026 0.000048 0.000080 0.000123 0.000183
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.400592e-06 0.000012 0.000026 0.000050 0.000085 0.000133 0.000200
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.665828e-06 0.000011 0.000025 0.000050 0.000086 0.000137 0.000210
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.748627e-06 0.000010 0.000024 0.000049 0.000089 0.000145 0.000225
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.867020e-06 0.000008 0.000022 0.000047 0.000089 0.000149 0.000237
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.243598e-06 0.000007 0.000020 0.000046 0.000089 0.000153 0.000248
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 8.934244e-07 0.000006 0.000019 0.000046 0.000092 0.000161 0.000264
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.666216e-07 0.000005 0.000018 0.000045 0.000092 0.000165 0.000276
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.459020e-07 0.000004 0.000016 0.000044 0.000093 0.000170 0.000288
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.898658e-07 0.000003 0.000015 0.000042 0.000093 0.000173 0.000299
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 8.530226e-08 0.000003 0.000013 0.000040 0.000092 0.000175 0.000306
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.691465e-08 0.000002 0.000012 0.000038 0.000090 0.000175 0.000312
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 6.763121e-09 0.000002 0.000011 0.000036 0.000089 0.000177 0.000320
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 4.188671e-09 0.000002 0.000011 0.000038 0.000095 0.000190 0.000345